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October 28, 2016

Donald Trump has run the worst campaign in modern history

As this presidential election draws to its close, I keep wondering: Why has Donald Trump run such an ineffective campaign? Trump began with three big advantages. The Democrats were seeking a third consecutive term in the White House, something that a political party has achieved only twice in the past 80 years . In addition, economic growth and income gains remain sluggish. Plus, the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton, a politician from the past with high unfavorable ratings, couldn’t easily represent the desire for change.

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October 28, 2016

Clinton Faces Race’s Final Days With Towering Cash Advantage

Hillary Clinton extended her financial advantage in the presidential race’s final weeks, amassing a $153 million war chest that is more than twice as large as Donald Trump’s.

Clinton raised $101 million in the first 19 days of October for her campaign and a pair of committees that share funds with the Democratic Party, according to filings Thursday with the Federal Election Commission. The documents give a final glimpse of the candidates’ financial position before the Nov. 8 election.

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October 28, 2016

Road to 270: CNN’s latest electoral college map

One week after we moved Nevada and Florida from “battleground” to “lean Democratic,” both states appear to be snapping back to their traditional toss-up status. Our new CNN electoral outlook places both states back in the “battleground” category and increases the up-for-grabs turf to six states and two congressional districts worth a total of 87 electoral votes.

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October 28, 2016

Wikileaks Memo Detailing ‘Bill Clinton, Inc.’ Likely to Haunt Clinton

With just two weeks between Hillary Clinton and what polls suggest will be a comfortable victory on Election Day came another reminder that nothing comes easily for Clinton, Wikileaks’ release of a memo unlocking how Bill Clinton monetized his post-presidency.

The memo, which Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus called “the smoking gun,” gives an unvarnished look at the kind of actions that galvanized populist movements against Clinton on both the left and right this year.

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October 28, 2016

How does Trump get to 270?

Donald Trump has a realistic, if difficult, path to 265 electoral votes. It’s getting to 270 that looks improbable.

Trump is in a tight race with Hillary Clinton in Florida and Ohio, the two swing states that are perennial battlegrounds in the White House race.

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October 28, 2016

GOP insiders: Polls don’t capture secret Trump vote

Those battleground state polls that paint such a grim picture of Donald Trump’s prospects against Hillary Clinton? Most Republican insiders don’t believe they’re accurately capturing Trump’s true level of support.

That’s according to the POLITICO Caucus — a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 11 key battleground states. More than seven-in-10 GOP insiders, 71 percent, say the polls understate Trump’s support because voters don’t want to admit to pollsters that they are backing the controversial Republican nominee.

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October 27, 2016

CNN Poll of Polls: Clinton lead holds steady

Hillary Clinton’s lead in the national horserace has held steady despite some flashes of tightening in state polls over the last week, according to CNN’s most recent Poll of Polls.

The average of the five most recent national surveys shows Clinton with 47% support and Donald Trump at 41%. Libertarian Gary Johnson has seen his standing drop since last week by 2 percentage points to 5% and Jill Stein of the Green Party earns 2%.
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