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October 27, 2016

One North Carolina County Shows The Cracks In The GOP’s Defenses

“Forgive our mess,” Mary Anne Huggins said as she led me through the Gaston County Republican Party headquarters on a recent Wednesday morning. “We never throw anything away — we’re conservative.”

A gallery of candidate yard signs was tacked neatly on a fresh raspberry-red paint job — Trump, McCrory, McHenry, Bumgardner. Official photos of George H.W. Bush and Dan Quayle hung side by side on one wall; a portrait of Liddy Dole graced another.

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October 27, 2016

Inside the Trump Bunker, With 12 Days to Go

On Oct. 19, as the third and final presidential debate gets going in Las Vegas, Donald Trump’s Facebook and Twitter feeds are being manned by Brad Parscale, a San Antonio marketing entrepreneur, whose buzz cut and long narrow beard make him look like a mixed martial arts fighter. His Trump tie has been paired with a dark Zegna suit. A lapel pin issued by the Secret Service signals his status. He’s equipped with a dashboard of 400 prewritten Trump tweets. “Command center,” he says, nodding at his laptop.

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October 27, 2016

Pence Campaigns in Utah to Stave Off McMullin Momentum

Mike Pence, just 13 days before the election, flew into one of the most conservative states in the country to avoid an upset at the hands of Republican voters hesitant to back his running mate, Donald Trump.

“There are only two names on that ballot that have a chance to be president of the United States of America,” Pence declared to the rowdy crowd of around 1,300 at his Salt Lake City rally Wednesday night.

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October 27, 2016

CNN Poll of Polls: Clinton lead holds steady

Hillary Clinton’s lead in the national horserace has held steady despite some flashes of tightening in state polls over the last week, according to CNN’s most recent Poll of Polls.

The average of the five most recent national surveys shows Clinton with 47% support and Donald Trump at 41%. Libertarian Gary Johnson has seen his standing drop since last week by 2 percentage points to 5% and Jill Stein of the Green Party earns 2%.
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October 27, 2016

Clinton leads by 6 points, Post-ABC tracking poll finds

With 12 days to go, Hillary Clinton holds a six-point edge over Donald Trump among an electorate fixated on the campaign and nervous about their candidate losing, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News Tracking Poll.

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October 26, 2016

New Puerto Rican voters could decide crucial Florida battleground

“Hillary, number one!” says Andy Santiago, who moved to Florida from Puerto Rico nine months ago in search of a job. He gives a thumbs-up with his left hand, stuck in a latex food-preparation glove, and keeps his right hand on the bulky sandwich roll he is loading with cheese and meat at Piocos Chicken.

Santiago does not speak the language well enough to detail his political views in English, so he repeats himself: “Hillary, number one!”

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October 26, 2016

Polls May Be Underestimating Evan McMullin’s Chances In Utah

Earlier this month, I wrote a story outlining the extremely narrow but not impossible path that Evan McMullin could take to the White House, and since then, McMullin has become a genuinely hot topic. Nate Silver followed up with a post about how our forecast model is handling Utah. And we’ve talked about how McMullin’s chances of being the first third-party or independent candidate to win a state since 1968 may turn out to be one of the last cliffhanger results in this race.

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