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October 18, 2016

How low can Trump go in the polls?

Polls conducted since the first presidential debate last month put Donald Trump on a pace to earn a smaller percentage of the vote than any major-party nominee in at least 20 years.

In matchups that include third-party candidates, Trump is winning, on average, 39.6 percent of the vote compared to 46.2 percent for Hillary Clinton in the dozen national polls using live-telephone interviewers conducted since September 26.

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October 18, 2016

CBS poll: Clinton’s lead over Trump widens with three weeks to go

Following the second presidential debate and controversies surrounding both campaigns, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has expanded to nine points now nationally. Forty-seven percent of likely voters support or lean towards Clinton, while 38 percent support Trump. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 8 percent of likely voters, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 3 percent of the vote. Two weeks ago, Clinton’s lead was four points.

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October 17, 2016

Early voting reveals warning signs for Trump

Democrats appear to be outpacing their 2012 early vote performance in several critical swing states, giving Hillary Clinton a head start on Donald Trump in some of the most important presidential battlegrounds.

In two must-win states for Trump, North Carolina and Florida, Republicans are clinging to narrow leads in the total number of mail-in ballots requested. Yet in both states, Clinton is ahead of President Barack Obama’s pace four years earlier — and the GOP trails Mitt Romney’s clip.

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October 17, 2016

Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 50 points among Latinos

Hillary Clinton has a dominating lead over Donald Trump among Latino voters heading into the final weeks of the presidential election, a new poll shows.

The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Poll released Monday gave Clinton a 50-point lead over Trump among Latino voters, 67 to 17 percent.

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October 17, 2016

CNN Poll of Polls: Clinton leads Trump by 8 points

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is leading her Republican rival Donald Trump by eight points among likely voters, according to the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, released Monday.

The poll average shows Clinton has 47% of support from likely voters, Trump at 39% support, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson with 7% and Green Party nominee Jill Stein getting 2%.
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October 17, 2016

How Evan McMullin Could Win Utah And The Presidency

With the election only weeks away, Hillary Clinton appears to have the lead and the momentum. As of this writing, the FiveThirtyEight polls-only forecast gives her around an 87 percent chance of winning — up from around 55 percent in late September – and that may not have fully absorbed the fallout of Trump’s lewd video, debatable debate performance or the daily deluge of fresh scandal jeopardizing his candidacy.

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October 17, 2016

Trump has reached his ceiling, with little or no room to grow

Donald Trump is stuck. The deeper you drill into the crosstabs of our new poll, the clearer it becomes that he will have a very hard time getting more than 46 percent of the popular vote. That would translate into a landslide loss in the Electoral College.

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