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September 8, 2016

Trump insists he can win New York

Donald Trump renewed his vow Wednesday evening to compete and ultimately win in New York, a state that has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 1984.

“Just so you understand, we are going to play New York. You know, we’re not just doing this for fun. We’re going to play New York,” Trump told the New York Conservative Party at its convention Wednesday evening.

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September 7, 2016

The Problem With Presidential Polling

If you use pub­lic polling as your guide star for the pres­id­en­tial elec­tion, the read­ings an­nounced Tues­day would make your head spin. First, CNN re­leased a sur­vey show­ing Don­ald Trump pulling in­to the lead by 2 points over Hil­lary Clin­ton among likely voters, one of the few times a na­tion­al poll has found the Re­pub­lic­an ahead in months. But wait: The Wash­ing­ton Post com­mis­sioned a land­mark poll from the on­line poll­ster Sur­vey­Mon­key show­ing Clin­ton with a com­mand­ing elect­or­al-vote lead, ahead in solidly Re­pub­lic­an Texas, and with­in strik­ing dis­tance in Mis­sis­sippi.

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September 7, 2016

Trump making a play for Virginia, despite long odds

Donald Trump will spend more money this week in Virginia than anywhere else. Of the $3.5 million in advertising time he’s booked, $1.9 million will go into the commonwealth. More specifically, $1.4 million will be spent in the D.C. market.

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September 7, 2016

How Hillary Clinton could win

Hillary Clinton has advantages heading into the final stretch of the campaign that any presidential candidate would envy: a fleet of popular surrogates, a mountain of cash and an opponent who is often sidetracked by self-inflicted wounds.

Yet the Democratic nominee enters this home stretch in a dead heat against Donald Trump, according to a CNN/ORC poll released Tuesday.
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September 7, 2016

Will Trump or Clinton win? The 11 states deciding the race

The final sprint toward Election Day has begun, and Donald Trump is reeling in Hillary Clinton’s lead.

A new CNN/ORC poll on Tuesday morning showed Trump leading by 2 points nationally, sending shockwaves through Democratic ranks. Clinton’s advantage in the RealClearPolitics polling average was down to 3.3 points, less than half of what it was at its peak.

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September 7, 2016

Gary Johnson begins first TV push with debates looming

Gary Johnson, struggling to move his poll numbers high enough to earn a spot in the presidential debates, is beginning his first television advertising of the 2016 campaign.

Despite unprecedented discomfort with the Republican nominee, Johnson, the Libertarian candidate and a former Republican governor of New Mexico, has so far failed to sufficiently consolidate the support of Republicans opposed to Donald Trump.
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September 7, 2016

Poll: Arizona a toss-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Arizona is a too-close-to-call presidential battleground between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, according to a new statewide Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll.

The live telephone survey found Clinton, the former secretary of State, leading Trump, the celebrity billionaire, 35.1 percent to 33.5 percent among likely voters in the traditional red state, well within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

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