Recent News

Last week, I wrote about the fun­da­ment­al sta­bil­ity of the pres­id­en­tial race—with Don­ald Trump’s con­sist­ently high neg­at­ives and per­sist­ent weak­ness with non­white voters, Re­pub­lic­an wo­men, and col­lege-edu­cated whites mak­ing it very dif­fi­cult for him to pre­vail. I wrote it would take a Septem­ber sur­prise to change the tra­ject­ory of the race.

That sur­prise just happened.

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Ohio, a gap that underscores the Democrat’s challenges in critical Rust Belt states after one of the roughest stretches of her campaign.

The Republican nominee leads Clinton 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a two-way contest and 44 percent to 39 percent when third-party candidates are included.

Libertarian Party’s Gary Johnson to Appear on Election Ballots in All 50 States

Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson’s campaign said Tuesday that he will be on the ballot in all 50 states plus the District of Columbia, marking the first time in two decades a third-party presidential ticket has appeared on every state ballot.

Republicans have gained ground on Democrats in registering voters in three battleground states and kept their razor-thin advantage in Iowa - encouraging news for Donald Trump eight weeks before Election Day.

Republicans added hundreds of thousands of voters to the rolls since 2012 in states including Florida and Arizona, and narrowed the gap in North Carolina, according to data compiled by The Associated Press.

Hillary Clinton’s national lead over Donald Trump continues to shrink amid renewed questions about her trustworthiness and her lack of transparency.

Clinton leads Trump among registered by just 4 points nationally, 48-44, according to an NBC News/Survey Monkey poll made public Tuesday.

Regardless of local demographics, there are only three types of voters. Most have highly predictable partisan loyalties. Those who regularly vote comprise our base number, the minimum total of votes each candidate should be able to count on without really trying.

It’s in­ter­est­ing to watch Hil­lary Clin­ton’s highly schizo­phren­ic cam­paign. On one level, in terms of strategy and tac­tics, or­gan­iz­a­tion­al abil­it­ies, use of tech­no­logy, and the like, it is a very im­press­ive ef­fort, a blend­ing of the best from her 2008 cam­paign with the cream of the 2008 and 2012 Obama pres­id­en­tial ef­forts.