Recent News

Gary Johnson cuts into Clinton’s lead

Gary Johnson was never supposed to be a problem for Hillary Clinton.

The low-profile Libertarian’s presence on the ballot would serve as an easy out for #NeverTrump Republicans, Democrats aligned with the nominee have long figured, and that could only hurt Donald Trump.

A series of polls released today show the gap is narrowing between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, both nationally and in surveys of the key battleground states of Florida and Ohio.

A Quinnipiac poll of likely voters shows Clinton with 48 percent support nationally compared to Trump’s 43 percent. The poll marks a tightening from late August when Quinnipiac showed the margin as 51-41 in favor of Clinton.

New Hampshire Union Leader endorses Johnson for president

The New Hampshire Union Leader endorsed Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson for president, breaking a 100-year tradition of backing Republicans.

An editorial written by Joseph W. McQuaid, the paper’s publisher, slammed both major party’s nominees.

Hillary Clinton faces dilemma following ‘deplorables’ remark

Hillary Clinton faces a major dilemma in the wake of her controversial “basket of deplorables” comment: keep hammering Donald Trump on race or pivot to other issues.

OK, before I say anything, a quick disclaimer: This piece is not a prediction. In fact, I’m a religious (maybe fanatical) adherent of FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 election forecast model, which I find to be both methodologically rigorous and intellectually honest. I don’t dispute its assessment that Hillary Clinton has a 63 or 64 percent chance of winning the election.

Why the Republican Party isn’t worried about how many field offices it has

What incensed the people running the Republican Party’s field effort following an article I wrote last week is less that I disparaged the phrase “offices don’t vote, people do” and more that I suggested the party had a “weak” ground game. I can state that they took issue with that description because they told me so — and were then gracious enough to explain why they think I got it wrong.

Why Florida is still in play for Trump

The nation’s biggest battleground state should have buried Donald Trump’s White House hopes.

With Florida’s booming Hispanic population, Trump’s harsh immigration rhetoric sounded like political suicide. In a state where TV ads drive the electorate, Trump penny-pinched on air time.