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September 30, 2016

Clinton camp debates media strategy vs. Trump

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is promising to be more “positive” in the homestretch for the White House to give voters a reason to support the Democrat and not just oppose Republican nominee Donald Trump.

One Clinton surrogate said the campaign understands that they need to continue to “give people a reason to vote for her.”

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September 30, 2016

Hillary Clinton’s Huge Surrogate Advantage

Don­ald Trump ap­pears to have a new fa­vor­ite way to at­tack Hil­lary Clin­ton: her cam­paign sched­ule.

In the run-up to the first de­bate of the gen­er­al elec­tion, Trump sug­ges­ted on sev­er­al oc­ca­sions Clin­ton was sleep­ing in­stead of pre­par­ing for this past Monday’s show­down. At the de­bate it­self, Trump ques­tioned wheth­er his op­pon­ent had the “stam­ina” to serve as pres­id­ent.

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September 30, 2016

‘Missing’ White Voters Could Elect Trump. But First They Need To Register.

Here’s a scary stat for Democrats: In 2012, President Obama won re-election by almost 5 million votes, but about 47 million eligible white voters without a college degree — including 24 million men — didn’t bother to vote. In 2016, these nonvoters are part of the demographic that is most strongly in favor of Donald Trump.

If Trump rouses even a fraction of these notoriously disaffected Americans — like this grease-smudged, 61-year-old first-time voter in western Pennsylvania — he could surge to victory. There’s just one catch: If we’re on the cusp of a blue-collar Great Awakening, it’s not yet showing up in the registration data.

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September 30, 2016

Even A Small Post-Debate Bounce Could Make A Big Difference For Clinton

Like a lot of you, we at FiveThirtyEight are spending a lot of time refreshing our web browsers and Twitter feeds as we await new polls. Until we get more of those, figuring out how the first presidential debate affected the race involves a lot of guesswork. Still, the data that we have so far suggests that Hillary Clinton has gained ground as a result of Monday night’s debate — it’s mostly a question of how much her position has improved.

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September 30, 2016

Poll: After Debate, Women Think Less of Trump and Better of Clinton

Donald Trump has said, “I would be the best for women.” But according to a new NBC News|SurveyMoney poll taken after the first presidential debate, a majority of women aren’t convinced.

Twenty-seven percent of likely women voters said the debate made them think worse of Trump. Meanwhile, nearly a third, or 30 percent, said their opinion of Clinton had improved, compared to 22 percent of men. Women were also far likelier to say Clinton won the debate, by a 10-point margin over men.

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September 30, 2016

WBUR Poll: Clinton Leads Trump In New Hampshire

A new WBUR poll shows Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7 points among likely voters in New Hampshire, one of the key battleground states that could determine the outcome of the presidential election.

The survey also found that by a wide margin, voters believe Clinton was the clear winner in Monday night’s debate against Trump.

 

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September 30, 2016

Insiders: Trump had a terrible week

Hillary Clinton’s performance in this week’s presidential debate — and the subsequent fallout — is fueling a surge of confidence about her prospects in the battleground states that will decide the election.

That’s according to The POLITICO Caucus — a panel of swing-state activists, strategists and operatives. Virtually all Democrats and nearly half of Republicans said the debate has given Clinton some much-needed momentum in the Electoral College battlegrounds where Trump had been gaining ground.

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