Recent News

Gary Johnson averaged just 7 percentage points in 11 polls released on Thursday, continuing a string of bad results for the Libertarian Party nominee. At the same time, the number of undecided voters appears to be falling. Those two trends are combining to remove some of the uncertainty in our forecasts — historically, the number of undecided and third-party voters has been strongly correlated with both polling volatility and polling error.

Trump facing must-win debate

Donald Trump needs a win at the second presidential debate on Sunday if he is to build on the momentum that his running mate, Mike Pence, has created for him.

Pence, the governor of Indiana, is widely seen as having bested his Democratic counterpart, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, at the sole vice presidential debate on Tuesday evening.

Deborah Charney didn’t need much persuading when Hillary Clinton volunteer Cordell Clealand stepped onto her front porch and pulled out a “join the team” card.

“I’m not sure how females can vote for Trump,’’ said Charney, 52, an attorney from Powell, Ohio, said of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. She had Clealand check the boxes that said she would help register voters and make phone calls for Clinton.

Clinton debate prep is focused on what happens once the debate is done

Sen. Tim Kaine may have awakened Wednesday to poor reviews after the first and only vice-presidential debate, but his acerbic performance in Farmville, Va., revealed that the Clinton campaign’s strategy for these debates extends far beyond the stage.

Who Won the Debate? Commentators Give Edge to Mike Pence

Senator Tim Kaine of Virginia on Tuesday repeatedly provoked Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana with criticism of his running mate, Donald J. Trump, trying to make him answer for some of Mr. Trump’s more provocative comments and contentious proposals as the men faced off in the sole vice-presidential debate.

But it may not have worked. Commentators and critics said Mr. Pence successfully played defense for 90 minutes, dodging, denying and ultimately appearing more stately as he handled an unenviable challenge with remarkable steadiness.

Poll: Clinton retakes 11-point lead over Trump in Michigan

Three weeks after it looked like Donald Trump could challenge Hillary Clinton in Michigan, it now appears the Republican nominee may have squandered that chance with a poor debate performance, revelations about his taxes and erratic behavior on the campaign trail, an exclusive new Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll shows.

Trump looks to the West for salvation

Donald Trump pledged his appeal to working class whites would put new states in play, opening an electoral path to 270 votes that ran through the Rust Belt. But with five weeks to go and new polling showing Pennsylvania and Michigan out of reach and Hillary Clinton eating into his lead in Ohio, the Republican nominee is blazing a trail across the West.