Recent News

Rand Paul on the verge of being booted to undercard debate

Rand Paul is on the verge of being booted to the undercard stage in Thursday night’s Republican primary debate, while John Kasich appears to have successfully clung on to the main stage, according to a POLITICO analysis of recent polls done before Fox Business Network officially announces the lineup later on Monday.

In the January edition of AEI’s Political Report, we provide profiles of the 2012 Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada Republican electorates. What makes each of these electorates distinct? Will their profiles be similar in 2016?

Huckabee hits 99th county in Iowa

Ninety-nine students holding signs with the names of Iowa’s 99 counties welcomed Mike Huckabee to their school Thursday morning, as the Republican presidential candidate marked the completion of a campaign milestone — stumping in all of the state’s counties.

Who are Trump’s voters, and will they vote?

Donald Trump’s high levels of support in the Republican nomination contest has led many to ask a basic question: Who, exactly, are his supporters? Politico seeks to answer that question with a deep dive into the polling data this morning:

Donald Trump’s big tent

Republicans explain away their unwelcome poll-leader by dismissing his supporters as a loud but narrow network of angry white men and celebrity chasers.

It’s not true. A POLITICO review of private and public polling data and interviews with GOP ... Read More >>

29 Days Left - The State of the Caucus Race

If you are into politics, there will be no better place to be for the next month than the state of Iowa. The holidays are over. The Hawkeye football season is over. We love college basketball, and while conference play is upon us, it doesn’t get serious until March. For the next 30 days, the Iowa Caucuses will take center stage and dominate discussions and news coverage around the state.

And when will there be three?

You can take the results of the robo poll conducted by the Democratic outfit PPP with a big grain of salt. Nevertheless, the underlying analysis is correct:

Trump actually ranks 8th out of the 12 candidates in New Hampshire in net favorability with only 49% of GOP voters seeing him favorably to 44% with a negative opinion.

USA TODAY GOP Power Rankings: Carson and Fiorina fading

2016 begins with some outsider candidates finding themselves out of the picture in USA TODAY’s weekly GOP Power Rankings.

Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina tallied their worst scores this week since we started this survey Sept. 1, asking 30 political experts who is the strongest candidate in the GOP field.