Recent News

Ohio Gov. John Kasich is one of several candidates banking on a good showing in the first primary state of New Hampshire to propel his campaign to the nomination. National Journal has a story on Kasich this morning regarding his efforts to “thread the needle” on policy, but that description could just as easily apply to his strategy:

John Kasich Tries to Thread the Needle on … Pretty Much Everything

Now that Wis­con­sin Gov. Scott Walk­er is out of the race, Kasich ... Read More >>

Right now, the 2016 race is the Donald Trump and Ben Carson show, and everyone else is just playing a supporting role.

According to a new Mercyhurst poll released Monday, Trump and Carson lead among Pennsylvania voters, with the pair tied at 18 percent each and no other candidate in the field cracking double digits.

Scramble Intensifies to Court Iowa Republicans in ‘Economic Conservative Lane’

Steve Gaer’s phone rang within minutes after Gov. Scott Walker quit the Republican race on Sept. 21. An influential Walker supporter in Iowa, Mr. Gaer took three calls from rival campaigns. Two more chimed in the next morning. Last week, Jeb Bush called him personally.

At 27 percent, nationally Donald Trump maintains his frontrunner status among Republican primary voters, but Ben Carson is now closely behind him. Carson’s support has risen significantly since early August, when he polled at six percent. Carson is now at 23 percent, putting him in second place.

Pollsters: Don’t trust us to winnow GOP field

Pollsters surveyed by POLITICO have a unanimous warning for the Republican National Committee and the TV networks who are using public-opinion surveys to exclude presidential candidates from debates: Don’t trust polls to detect often-tiny grades of opinion in a giant field.

How the GOP gets to the final four

With the Governors Club members Scott Walker and Rick Perry gone, the bloated Republican presidential field is showing the inevitable signs of radical shrinkage by year’s end, with donors’ reluctance to bet on long shots.

The cruelest month of the 2016 race

October is when the 2016 campaign gets real.

Two debates are coming — one that will likely winnow the GOP field and one that could rearrange the Democratic race. A Benghazi hearing will either be a showcase or a feeding frenzy. And campaign fundraising reports are going to be making a lot of decisions for people, whether they like it or not.