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Recent News

Cash-rich Clinton towers over the GOP field

Republican and Democratic presidential candidates hauled in an enormous $144 million in the third quarter of 2015 but the vast majority of the money flowed into only a handful of campaigns, leaving the 2016 race distinctively stratified into the haves, the have-notes and the hopeless.

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Recent News

What spending can tell us about the health of a presidential campaign

Thursday is the deadline for presidential campaigns to submit their third quarter fundraising reports to the Federal Election Commission. Many campaigns — confident in their numbers or hoping to inoculate the response to bad ones — have already released top-line details. For all of them, though, it’s a moment that’s not unlike heading to the doctor for a particularly invasive examination.

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Campaign Watch

Telltale Fundraising Reports Due Today

Candidates for president are required to file their fundraising reports with the Federal Election Commission by the end of today. The reports will provide insights on a key viability test, showing whether candidates have the funds necessary to mount credible campaigns for their party’s nomination. Bloomberg Politics this morning offers a piece explaining what to look for in the reports:

What to Watch as Presidential Candidates File Third-Quarter Fundraising Reports

Here’s what smart analysts will be looking for in today’s filings.

1. Who gets ... Read More >>

Recent News

Did The Democratic Debate Change The Odds?

The first Democratic debate is in the books, so we surveyed the state of the Democratic primary in this week’s 2016 election Slack chat. As always, the transcript below has been lightly edited.

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Campaign Watch

Clinton Emerges Stronger From First Democratic Debate

The first debate among the Democratic candidates was held last night, and most press accounts seem to agree that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton came out on top. A special version of the POLITICO Caucus (they normally weigh in on Friday) offers the following assessment:

Insiders: A runaway victory for Clinton

Hillary Clinton won — by a landslide.

Clinton was the clear winner of the first Democratic presidential debate, according to the assessment of both Democrats and Republicans in this week’s ... Read More >>

Recent News

The Media Underestimated Hillary Clinton, But Overestimated Her Debate

Before last night’s debate, I suggested the media was likely to emerge with one of two narratives about the state of Hillary Clinton’s campaign: Either she was mounting a comeback, or she was in a downward spiral. “It may not take all that much,” I wrote, “for the media to choose one narrative over another and then find all sorts of ‘evidence’ to reinforce it.”

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Recent News

Sanders dominates social media during the debate

Bernie Sanders dominated social media during the first Democratic debate, capturing most of the conversation on Facebook and the most talked about moment on Twitter.

Hillary Clinton did take No. 1 on Twitter during the half point of the debate, becoming the most mentioned candidate from either party.

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