Recent News

Clinton casts Trump aside

For the two days leading up to the final debate showdown in Las Vegas, Donald Trump was driving a message that was unnerving some on Hillary Clinton’s campaign team.

Poll: Clinton, Trump tied nationally

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a dead heat just two weeks before the presidential election, a poll released Monday shows.

The Investor’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence Tracking Poll — once called the the most accurate poll of the 2012 election by pollster Nate Silver — gives both Clinton and Trump 41 percent support apiece in a four-way race.

Texas, usually safe Republican bastion, is in play this election according to poll results released Sunday by CBS News/YouGov.

Hillary Clinton trails Donald Trump by 3 percentage points in the Lone Star State where 38 electoral votes are at stake, well within the poll’s 4.4 percentage point margin of error.

Trump’s incredible shrinking map

In June, POLITICO identified 11 key battleground states — totaling 146 electoral votes — that would effectively decide the presidential election in November. A new examination of polling data and strategic campaign ad buys indicates that six of those 11 are now comfortably in Hillary Clinton’s column.

Clinton leads Donald Trump by 5 points or greater in POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average in Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Tiny Maine is getting outsize attention from Clinton and Trump

Michael Madore and Tom Leet remember when this was called the “Magic City,” an oasis of prosperity in the dense Maine woods. The magic and the paper mills that created it are gone, and the men disagree on which presidential candidate can best help bring something — anything — back. But they know this year their vote might have a little more weight than usual.

AJC poll: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Georgia

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Georgia with less than three weeks until Election Day, according to a new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll.

The poll released Friday shows Trump leading Clinton 44-42 among likely Georgia voters, which is within the poll’s margin of error. Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 9 percent in the poll, and another 4 percent had not yet made up their minds.

FiveThirtyEight’s highest traffic often comes on the day just after major events, like debates or key presidential primaries. Everyone wants to know how those events are going to move the polls. We’re sometimes happy to speculate about that, when we think the answer is obvious enough. But the problem is that there usually isn’t any data that soon, since the polls will take a few days to register any effects.