Recent News

The recent connected bombings in New York and New Jersey and the stabbing attack at a mall in Minnesota have increased interest in how the presidential candidates would handle national security.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have spoken out since the attacks, which left dozens of people injured.

Donald Trump is enjoying his strongest position in the presidential race since immediately after his nominating convention and, for the first time, has started to significantly close the gap with Hillary Clinton on the question of which candidate voters expect will win — a shift that could boost turnout on both sides.

Hillary Clinton continues to hold a small lead in FiveThirtyEight’s forecasting models. She has about a 59 percent chance of winning the election according to both our polls-only and polls-plus forecasts. The most notable new polls released since Friday came in Pennsylvania and Florida, both crucial swing states. Clinton led by 8 percentage points in a Muhlenberg College poll from Pennsylvania and by 1 percentage point in a Siena College poll out of Florida.

50 days to go

There are fifty days until election day, and Politico marks the occasion with an article looking at where the campaign stands right now and noting that despite Hillary Clinton‘s significant advantages on the air and on the ground, it doesn’t seem to have (yet) made a large difference:

50-day countdown begins

With just 50 days until the election, Donald Trump is facing a staggering — and perhaps historic — organizational disadvantage.

According to a POLITICO review of campaign spending, Hillary Clinton has invested ... Read More >>

50-day countdown begins

With just 50 days until the election, Donald Trump is facing a staggering — and perhaps historic — organizational disadvantage.

According to a POLITICO review of campaign spending, Hillary Clinton has invested seven times the amount of money on TV commercials as her Republican rival and has established twice as many field offices in many of the states that will decide who wins the presidency. In many battlegrounds, she has dozens more organizers than Trump.

Every September for the past 15 years, my parents have hosted a “harvest party” at their home in Alaska. It’s really a giant potluck, with the twist that guests have to “harvest” whatever they bring. Since this is in Alaska, people show up with things like smoked salmon, halibut chowder, dall sheep stew, mountain goat chili, moose ribs, and spruce grouse tacos. One year, my brother spit-roasted a porcupine (I’m told it tastes like rabbit).

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are condemning the attacks in New York, New Jersey and Minnesota.

In statements, the candidates offered their support for the victims. Trump went a step further saying, “failed Obama-Hillary Clinton policies won’t keep us safe. I will make America safe again!”