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Polls: Trump leads Kasich in Ohio, Rubio in Florida

Donald Trump leads Republican presidential rivals Marco Rubio and John Kasich in their home states of Florida and Ohio, according to polling released Wednesday.
Trump tops Rubio by 16 points in Florida, leading 40 to 24 percent, while Ted Cruz follows at 19 percent and Kasich is at 5 percent in the latest CNN/ORC polls.
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Recent News

Trump Hits a Wall Within the GOP; His Critics Back a Convention Fight

Donald Trump’s facing a wall within his party, with Republicans who don’t currently support him far more apt to prefer Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio in a two-way race — or even to favor a contested convention to block Trump’s nomination.

Trump continues to lead in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, with 34 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents who are registered to vote saying they’d like to see him win the nomination. But he trails both Cruz and Rubio one-on-one.

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2016 Momentum Shifts, But Not the Math

Last night’s primary and caucus results changed the momentum in both presidential races. But they didn’t significantly alter the overall math and trajectory of the two contests. Let’s start with the Republican race. Donald Trump headed into last night losing some steam after Ted Cruz’s gains over the weekend. And what did Trump do? He won the Michigan and Mississippi primaries by double digits over Cruz, and he even triumphed in Hawaii’s caucuses.

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Primary Night Takeaways: Hillary Clinton Is Shaken and Donald Trump Roars Back

The story is getting familiar: Donald J. Trump won the biggest contests of the night, as Senator Ted Cruz of Texas captured the most conservative state up for grabs. Hillary Clinton kept a clear upper hand in the Democratic race, but Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont proved he would not be driven away anytime soon.

Tuesday’s elections could have brought new clarity to the presidential primaries. Instead, they only seemed to confirm that both parties would probably settle their nominations by battling for delegates well into the spring.

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Decision Desk, March 8: Trump 2, Cruz 2

Ted Cruz is about ready to run out of states where his base, very conservative evangelicals, are a large share of the GOP electorate. Fortunately for him, three of the four states voting on March 8 have favorable demographics or election rules. He will likely ride that to at least two victories, further cementing the narrative that he will be the last man standing to take on Donald Trump when the race inevitably winnows down to two men.
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Campaign Watch

Not-Quite ‘Super Tuesday 2’ Still Important

Three states hold primaries and a fourth will hold a caucus for Republicans today, while on the Democratic side only two states hold contests. But CNN has dubbed it “Super Tuesday 2,” and while that is probably a stretch, there is a lot riding on the results for several candidates. Here are several excerpts from CNN’s piece on what to be looking for:

What to watch on Super Tuesday 2

Mississippi… will test whether [Ted] Cruz’s surge in Louisiana — he closed ... Read More >>

Recent News

Is Trump peaking? We’ll find out today

On Tuesday, Donald Trump will discover whether his weekend struggles were a speed bump — or the first signs of larger troubles ahead.

If the polls are to believed, Trump is in for a dominant day, with blowouts in Michigan and Mississippi to be complemented by another win in Idaho. If Trump falls short, and particularly if he falls short to Ted Cruz for the second time in four days, the businessman’s delegate math gets more complicated, and the soothsayers who’ve long predicted Trump’s collapse will finally see hope for vindication.

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