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Recent News

Trump Gains on Clinton But Pulling Ahead Will Be a Daunting Task

Kellyanne Conway took over a struggling Trump campaign in late August and made a brazen prediction on CNBC: They would look back at the previous two weeks “and say, ‘Why in the world didn’t Hillary Clinton’s campaign totally put us away?’”

It took a few weeks longer than that for Trump to close the gap with the Democratic presidential nominee, who returned to the campaign trail on Thursday eager to move past visualizations of her stumbling and dizzy amid a health episode over the weekend.

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Recent News

Why Florida is still in play for Trump

The nation’s biggest battleground state should have buried Donald Trump’s White House hopes.

With Florida’s booming Hispanic population, Trump’s harsh immigration rhetoric sounded like political suicide. In a state where TV ads drive the electorate, Trump penny-pinched on air time.

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Recent News

Hillary Clinton faces dilemma following ‘deplorables’ remark

Hillary Clinton faces a major dilemma in the wake of her controversial “basket of deplorables” comment: keep hammering Donald Trump on race or pivot to other issues.

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Recent News

New Polls Show Election Tightening, Trump Gaining in Battleground States

A series of polls released today show the gap is narrowing between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, both nationally and in surveys of the key battleground states of Florida and Ohio.

A Quinnipiac poll of likely voters shows Clinton with 48 percent support nationally compared to Trump’s 43 percent. The poll marks a tightening from late August when Quinnipiac showed the margin as 51-41 in favor of Clinton.

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Campaign Watch

Danger for Trump in “deplorables” comment

Hillary Clinton‘s comment last week saying that half of Donald Trump’s supporters were “deplorables… racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic — you name it,” has become a significant risk not only to her, but to her rival as well, at least according to CBS:

Political risk for all in Trump-Clinton “deplorables” debate

Trump and his allies across the country insisted Tuesday that the Democratic presidential nominee’s comments reflect an out-of-touch elitist who looks down on working-class voters, akin to 2012 GOP nominee Mitt ... Read More >>

Recent News

Trump Has 5-Point Lead in Bloomberg Poll of Battleground Ohio

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points in a Bloomberg Politics poll of Ohio, a gap that underscores the Democrat’s challenges in critical Rust Belt states after one of the roughest stretches of her campaign.

The Republican nominee leads Clinton 48 percent to 43 percent among likely voters in a two-way contest and 44 percent to 39 percent when third-party candidates are included.

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Recent News

The Campaign’s September Surprise

Last week, I wrote about the fun­da­ment­al sta­bil­ity of the pres­id­en­tial race—with Don­ald Trump’s con­sist­ently high neg­at­ives and per­sist­ent weak­ness with non­white voters, Re­pub­lic­an wo­men, and col­lege-edu­cated whites mak­ing it very dif­fi­cult for him to pre­vail. I wrote it would take a Septem­ber sur­prise to change the tra­ject­ory of the race.

That sur­prise just happened.

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