Pollsters surveyed by POLITICO have a unanimous warning for the Republican National Committee and the TV networks who are using public-opinion surveys to exclude presidential candidates from debates: Don’t trust polls to detect often-tiny grades of opinion in a giant field.
Read More >>With the Governors Club members Scott Walker and Rick Perry gone, the bloated Republican presidential field is showing the inevitable signs of radical shrinkage by year’s end, with donors’ reluctance to bet on long shots.
Read More >>As Vice President Joe Biden considers a potential presidential campaign, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Sunday shows a Biden candidacy would draw support away from former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The uncertain terms of the next Republican debate are setting off a wave of anxiety among middle and bottom tier campaigns, with several lashing out at the Republican National Committee for failing to provide clarity on how many candidates will appear on stage.
Read More >>The polls get most of the attention, but they’re not the most important part of the early stages of a presidential campaign. The better guide to who’s really winning is known as the “invisible primary,” in which candidates compete for support from their fellow politicians, from party leaders and from donors.
Read More >>After facing attacks in two debates and dealing with controversies almost daily, business executive Donald Trump has maintained a big lead in New Hampshire, while the rest of the Republican presidential field has been shaken up over the past two months.
Read More >>A couple of articles this morning look at some of the unusual elements of the 2016 Republican presidential campaign. In the Washington Examiner, James Antle suggests the race is breaking new ground:
Republican White House race moves into uncharted territory
Something unprecedented is going to happen in the Republican presidential race next year. That’s not a prediction of a specific outcome, but a statement of fact about the options available.
The modern Republican primary process has never produced a nominee like Donald Trump, ... Read More >>