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Several Republican candidates are betting heavily on a good performance in the Iowa caucuses to either validate their top-tier standing or to propel themselves from further back in the race into contention for the GOP nomination. Two articles this morning demonstrate why it will be exceedingly difficult to predict over the next three months how any particular candidate will actually fare.

The Washington Examiner explains this morning that a majority of Iowans who say they favor one candidate or another are ... Read More >>

Iowa GOP expects record turnout

Top Republican strategists are almost universally predicting a record-setting turnout at the 2016 Iowa caucuses, but there’s widespread disagreement between them over just how big turnout will be – and whether it will be high enough to lift political outsiders like Donald Trump or Ben Carson to victory.

A new WBUR poll in New Hampshire shows establishment outsiders Donald Trump and Ben Carson are still leading in the Republican primary race there, but some of the other candidates are making new headway.

Poll: Trump and Carson lead nationally, Bush fades

Donald Trump and Ben Carson have healthy leads over the rest of the Republican presidential field, while Marco Rubio is on the rise and Jeb Bush is fading, according to a new national survey.

A Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday found Trump taking 24 percent support, followed by Carson at 23 percent.

Lawrence Lessig’s bid for the presidency is no more.

The Harvard Law professor and internet pioneer launched his campaign just after Labor Day, and from the start, it was clear that to call his bid quixotic was to sell Cervantes’ protagonist short.

Could Jindal Be 2016 Surprise Candidate?

The Iowa caucuses often propel previously little-known candidates into contention alongside those who have been talked about and viewed as frontrunners for months.

Two of the Republican candidates in 2016 saw that happen to their own previous campaigns. In 2008 former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee won after trailing for most of the period leading up to the caucuses, and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum captured first place in 2012 after similarly being ignored up to that point. In 1988 televangelist Pat ... Read More >>

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s victory in the second Republican presidential debate has made him the most important figure in the race. For the first time, there’s a candidate that conservatives and the establishment alike believe they can support.