2016 Campaign Watch

The Quinnipiac University national poll released this morning seems to answer, for now at least, the question of whether businessman Donald Trump can maintain his strong position in the polls despite recent inflammatory comments:

Donald Trump surges, Jeb Bush slumps in new national poll

Donald Trump leads the GOP presidential field by a significant margin, according to a new Quinnipiac University national poll released Thursday….

Fully 20 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning voters said they would vote for Trump if the primary were ...

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has surprised many by surging into second place in the Democratic nomination process, including drawing within 10 points of the frontrunner in some New Hampshire polls. Mollie Ball in The Atlantic reports on the surprise that is the Sanders campaign:

In the biggest surprise of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, this thoroughly implausible man, Bernie Sanders, is a sensation.

He is drawing enormous crowds—11,000 in Phoenix, 8,000 in Dallas, 2,500 in Council Bluffs, Iowa—the largest turnout ...

The first Republican debate will be held on Aug. 6 in Cleveland. Because only the top 10 candidates according to national polls will be on stage, six candidates and possibly seven (if Jim Gilmore enters the race by that date) will likely miss the cutoff. (“Likely” because in the event of a tie for 10th place, the tied candidates will be allowed on stage.)

Politico has an interesting article on several of the candidates who could be excluded from the first ...
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