2016 Campaign Watch
Clinton’s Nomination Struggles May Foreshadow Problems in General Election
Media attention is focused on businessman Donald Trump’s resounding win in the Nevada caucuses last night, and rightfully so. With nearly 46 percent of the vote, Trump finished with almost double his nearest rival, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, and his share of the vote puts him close to the 50 percent number that would put to rest many of the assumptions about there being a ceiling on his support that limits his ability to win if and when the race ...
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Trump on Course for Nomination?
Following businessman Donald Trump’s big win in South Carolina, a growing number of people seem to think he is more likely than not to be the 2016 Republican nominee. Several articles this morning address the issue of Trump’s candidacy and whether he could be stopped. From Bloomberg Politics:
Four Problems With the ‘Winnowing’ Theory of Trump’s Downfall
The theory is that Trump, who notched his second consecutive primary victory on Saturday, is a factional candidate with a “hard ceiling” of support limited ...
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January’s Campaign Cash Reports: A Test of Competitiveness
The results of the Nevada Democratic caucuses and the South Carolina Republican primary dominated coverage of the 2016 nomination contest over the weekend, for obvious reasons. Businessman Donald Trump won in South Carolina, with Florida Sen. Marco Rubio a distant second followed by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, and a poor showing persuaded former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush to abandon his bid.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton beat Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders by a closer margin than ...
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