2016 Campaign Watch

With four candidates remaining, the odds of a contested Republican convention in Cleveland where no candidate has a majority of delegates are higher than ever, according to Josh Kraushaar at National Journal:

The Odds of a Contested Convention Have Never Been Higher

Don­ald Trump’s not-so-ma­gic num­ber in the Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies is 34 per­cent. That’s the av­er­age share of the vote Trump has re­ceived in the first 19 con­tests. He won one-third of the vote in the four early races, 34 per­cent on ...

The four remaining Republican candidates debated last night in Detroit, and there are several analysis pieces this morning suggesting who did the best, who fared poorly, and who did or didn’t do what they needed to. One candidate who seemed to get mentioned most often as having a good night was Ohio Gov. John Kasich, such as in this article in Politico:

5 takeaways from the GOP debate

… John Kasich won, sorta. The unvarnished Ohio governor, who nearly carried teensy Vermont ...

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has not clinched the Democratic nomination for president, but she appears on track to do so. Recent analysis and commentary has suggested that she is already shifting her rhetoric towards themes that will appeal to general election voters. Here, for example, is coverage from the Boston Herald just two days ago:

Hillary Clinton focuses on GOP, general election in Boston

Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton — hitting Massachusetts with two appearances ahead of [the] critical Super ...