2016 Campaign Watch

Winning the presidency ultimately boils down to patching together enough states to win 270 or more electoral votes. According to an analysis by Politico, that task is almost entirely out of reach for Donald Trump at this point:

Trump’s incredible shrinking map

In June, POLITICO identified 11 key battleground states — totaling 146 electoral votes — that would effectively decide the presidential election in November. A new examination of polling data and strategic campaign ad buys indicates that six of those 11 ...

With a noticeable lead in nearly all the polls, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has only to avoid any major gaffes in tonight’s debate or for the remaining 20 days if she wants to be elected, at least according to an assessment in this morning’s Politico:

Can Clinton keep her head down?

Hillary Clinton’s favorite way to abuse a lead is to take her foot off the gas pedal and coast. This time, as the campaign confidently expands into red states with just ...

With three weeks and one day until election day (though with early voting, that term seems less and less relevant), poll analysis posted at The Washington Post suggests that Donald Trump may not be able to add to his already lackluster numbers:

Trump has reached his ceiling, with little or no room to grow

On the surface, the Republican nominee is surprisingly close to Hillary Clinton in the Washington Post/ABC News survey. He trails by just 4 points, 50 percent to 46 ...