Recent News

With four candidates remaining, the odds of a contested Republican convention in Cleveland where no candidate has a majority of delegates are higher than ever, according to Josh Kraushaar at National Journal:

The Odds of a Contested Convention Have Never Been Higher

Don­ald Trump’s not-so-ma­gic num­ber in the Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies is 34 per­cent. That’s the av­er­age share of the vote Trump has re­ceived in the first 19 con­tests. He won one-third of the vote in the four early races, 34 per­cent on ... Read More >>

After five Republican contests over the weekend, Donald Trump has just an 87-delegate lead over Ted Cruz, 392-305. And as one plugged-in GOP rules expert tells us, that lead is probably narrower than that. Why? Well, 112 delegates (representing 9% out of 1,237 needed for the nomination) are unbound because there is NO statewide presidential vote — like in Colorado. This all underscores, once again, how important the winner-take-all states of Florida and Ohio on March 15 are to Trump’s path to 1,237. They aren’t luxuries, they’re necessities. Here’s the delegate math.

Some supporters of Rubio say bad strategy, poorly run campaign killing his chances

Sensing an opportunity for an upset victory, Marco Rubio spent most of Friday in Kansas, where he picked up a series of high-profile endorsements that he hoped could help thrust him into contention.

Instead, he finished a dis­appointing third in the Saturday caucus in Kansas, repeating the same pattern as in some Super Tuesday states earlier last week: a big last-minute push, notable endorsements and a thud of a finish.

Cruz spoils Trump’s Super Saturday

Ted Cruz denied Donald Trump the big wins he’s used to, siphoning support from Marco Rubio on Saturday to emerge as the Republican best placed to face off against the GOP front-runner.

Cruz delivered two definitive upset victories in Kansas and Maine and held the Manhattan billionaire to narrow wins in Louisiana and Kentucky — shrinking the delegate gap between them and leaving his lower-polling rivals in the dust.

Don­ald Trump’s not-so-ma­gic num­ber in the Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies is 34 per­cent. That’s the av­er­age share of the vote Trump has re­ceived in the first 19 con­tests. He won one-third of the vote in the four early races, 34 per­cent on Su­per Tues­day, and a dis­ap­point­ing 33 per­cent av­er­age in the smal­ler-state races held this week­end. At a time when can­did­ates usu­ally in­crease their sup­port, Trump’s is stun­ted.

Trump Loses 3 of 10 GOP Voters in General, Poll Finds

If Donald Trump wins the GOP presidential nomination, three out of 10 Republican voters say they would not cast a ballot for him in the general election, a new Economist Group/YouGov Poll finds.

Only 71 percent of Republicans and independents who lean that way would vote for Trump if he were to face Hillary Clinton in a general election; 8 percent would vote for Clinton, 10 percent for another candidate and 10 percent would not vote.

Rubio wins Puerto Rico Republican primary

Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) is the projected winner of the Sunday Republican primary in Puerto Rico, where 23 delegates are at stake.

With about 86 percent of the vote tallied, Rubio had 74 percent of the vote, with Donald Trump in a far-distant second with around 13 percent. Sen. Ted Cruz was hovering around 9 percent and Ohio John Kasich had 1.3 percent — about 435 votes.