Recent News
Where The Race Stands Heading Into The First Debate
Whatever arguments we’ve had about the polls this week will soon be swamped by the reaction to Monday’s presidential debate. As a rough guide, I’d expect us to have some initial sense of how the debate has moved the numbers by Thursday or Friday based on quick-turnaround polls, and a clearer one by next Sunday or so, when an array of higher-quality polls will begin to report their post-debate results as well.
Read More >>What Clinton and Trump need to do to be the least unlikable candidate
For those who’ve already picked a side in the presidential contest, no debate gaffe will change their mind.
If Hillary Clinton sounds stilted and staged, it’s just evidence of her message discipline. Her supporters may even be relieved (and count it a win) if she stays on script and avoids email server statements like “with a cloth?”
Read More >>Clinton, Trump poised for historic debate battle
It could be the greatest political show on Earth.
CNN/ORC polls: Trump, Clinton deadlocked in Colorado, Pennsylvania
Just one point separates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in two states that are critical to both candidates’ chances of becoming president, according to new CNN/ORC polls in Pennsylvania and Colorado.
Trump Looks to Apply New Campaign Discipline at First Debate
Donald Trump’s rise in the polls has come after weeks in which he learned to stay out of his own way on the campaign trail. Monday’s debate could prove the ultimate test of whether the Republican presidential nominee’s new-found discipline can hold when he needs it most.
Trump’s campaign has been playing down his preparations for the event at Hofstra University, saying he isn’t interested in studying binders of policy points or holding mock debates.
Read More >>Clinton’s narrow edge
According to an insightful analysis at FiveThirtyEight.com, Democrat Hillary Clinton remains positioned to win the White House - barely. From the article:
Clinton’s Leading In Exactly The States She Needs To Win
Here at FiveThirtyEight, our favorite election-related chart is what we officially call the “winding path to 270 electoral votes” and unofficially call the snake. Designed by my colleague Aaron Bycoffe, it lines the states up from most favorable for Hillary Clinton (Hawaii, Maryland) to best for Donald Trump (Wyoming, Alabama) ... Read More >>
Republicans see new hope for Trump in North Carolina
North Carolina Republicans are lamenting the unrest gripping their state’s largest city, but, quietly, they also see it as an opportunity for Donald Trump to gain ground in a critical swing state.
And they’re asking him to take advantage of it.
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