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Poll: Arizona a toss-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump

Arizona is a too-close-to-call presidential battleground between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, according to a new statewide Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll.

The live telephone survey found Clinton, the former secretary of State, leading Trump, the celebrity billionaire, 35.1 percent to 33.5 percent among likely voters in the traditional red state, well within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

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Campaign Watch

Trump comeback?

Republican Donald Trump‘s bumpy campaign path to date has left him behind his rival, and two articles this morning in The Washington Post (A new 50-state poll shows exactly why Clinton holds the advantage over Trump) and Politico (Has Trump hit his ceiling?) suggest that he may have insurmountable obstacles between him and the White House. But a CNN p0ll out this morning would seem to indicate he has pulled even with Clinton, at least nationally:

Poll: Nine weeks out, a ... Read More >>

Recent News

A new 50-state poll shows exactly why Clinton holds the advantage over Trump

With nine weeks until Election Day, Donald Trump is within striking distance in the Upper Midwest, but Hillary Clinton’s strength in many battlegrounds and some traditional Republican strongholds gives her a big electoral college advantage, according to a 50-state Washington Post-SurveyMonkey poll.

The survey of all 50 states is the largest sample ever undertaken by The Post, which joined with SurveyMonkey and its online polling resources to produce the results. The state-by-state numbers are based on responses from more than 74,000 registered voters during the period of Aug. 9 to Sept. 1.

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Recent News

Has Trump hit his ceiling?

Donald Trump has run head-first into an electoral wall.

In poll after poll, Trump isn’t even close to winning a majority of the vote. While he’s narrowed the gap between his campaign and Hillary Clinton in recent weeks, in the past 21 national polls conducted using conventional phone or internet methodologies over the last five weeks, Trump’s high-water mark in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton is 44 percent.

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Recent News

Utah Is 2016’s Strangest Swing State

Here’s some unlikely math: Say every state in the U.S. that’s even somewhat contested goes to Donald Trump in November. Say he wins Ohio and Florida and manages to hang onto potential southern defectors like North Carolina and Georgia. Only in that case, on Trump’s best possible Election Day, would Utah’s four Electoral College votes determine the outcome of the 2016 presidential race.

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Recent News

Breaking down Pennsylvania: The battle in a battleground state

The Democrats have won the presidential contest in Pennsylvania over the past six elections. Other than President Barack Obama’s victory in 2008, the elections have been rather close; none of the other Democratic candidates received more than 52 percent of the vote. In 2012, the state was the sixth closest popular-vote state in the presidential contest.

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Recent News

Clinton Holds Steady Against Trump as Campaign Enters Final Weeks: Poll

Hillary Clinton’s national lead over Donald Trump remains steady at 6 points, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.

Clinton currently enjoys 48 percent support while Trump maintains 42 percent — the same margin as last week. The latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll was conducted online from August 29 through September 4 among registered voters.

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