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Recent News

Rubio surges to second in New Hampshire poll

Republican presidential hopeful Marco Rubio on Thursday vaulted into second place in a daily tracking poll, but still trails front-runner Donald Trump by double-digits in the New Hampshire primary

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Recent News

Cruz wins as Rubio and Trump prepare for battle

Ted Cruz beat the polls and beat Donald Trump Monday in Iowa, garnering the most votes in the history of the Iowa caucuses. Marco Rubio finished a strong third. If history is a guide, those are the only three tickets out of Iowa.

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Recent News

How Carly Fiorina lost the moment and the momentum in Iowa

Businesswoman turned presidential candidate Carly Fiorina recalled the beginning of her campaign last spring.

“No one knew who I was. No one had ever heard my name,” the Republican told several dozen people at a photography exhibit here recently. “The pundits wrote me off…. But the people of Iowa showed up in dining rooms, living rooms and restaurants, and you listened.

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Campaign Watch

What Do the Caucus Results Mean – and What’s Next?

The Iowa caucuses are over and done, and now the candidates (most of them, at least) are moving on to New Hampshire. Two candidates, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, ended their campaigns after disappointing results, and it is possible one or two more will pull the plug within the next few days.

Aside from pushing a few candidates out of the race, what will be the impact of the Iowa caucuses on the Democratic and ... Read More >>

Recent News

Decision Desk, Iowa: Three-Man Race?

Tonight’s Iowa caucuses will finally start to winnow the ginormous Republican field down to size. More importantly, it will also be the first test of three different narratives. Will Trump’s voters turn out? Can Cruz, who has staked his hopes on riding a united movement conservatism to victory, win in the early state where a united movement is strongest? Can Rubio emerge as the most conservative “establishment” candidate in modern history?
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Recent News

The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

The Iowa Caucuses award 27 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican presidential nomination, they are awarded proportionally, and nobody is likely to get much more than a third of the vote, so the numerical importance of winning Iowa is almost nil. What matters is the psychology of the results, how they shape the race going forward, and what they tell us about the candidates’ campaigns. What does each candidate need tonight?
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Recent News

GOP candidates start limping in the money race

Jeb Bush’s fundraising juggernaut has run out of steam, Ben Carson’s money machine has cranked down, and Chris Christie and Rand Paul have just a little more than $1 million in each of their campaign bank accounts.

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