Recent News

Donald Trump is enjoying his strongest position in the presidential race since immediately after his nominating convention and, for the first time, has started to significantly close the gap with Hillary Clinton on the question of which candidate voters expect will win — a shift that could boost turnout on both sides.

Hillary Clinton continues to hold a small lead in FiveThirtyEight’s forecasting models. She has about a 59 percent chance of winning the election according to both our polls-only and polls-plus forecasts. The most notable new polls released since Friday came in Pennsylvania and Florida, both crucial swing states. Clinton led by 8 percentage points in a Muhlenberg College poll from Pennsylvania and by 1 percentage point in a Siena College poll out of Florida.

50 days to go

There are fifty days until election day, and Politico marks the occasion with an article looking at where the campaign stands right now and noting that despite Hillary Clinton‘s significant advantages on the air and on the ground, it doesn’t seem to have (yet) made a large difference:

50-day countdown begins

With just 50 days until the election, Donald Trump is facing a staggering — and perhaps historic — organizational disadvantage.

According to a POLITICO review of campaign spending, Hillary Clinton has invested ... Read More >>

50-day countdown begins

With just 50 days until the election, Donald Trump is facing a staggering — and perhaps historic — organizational disadvantage.

According to a POLITICO review of campaign spending, Hillary Clinton has invested seven times the amount of money on TV commercials as her Republican rival and has established twice as many field offices in many of the states that will decide who wins the presidency. In many battlegrounds, she has dozens more organizers than Trump.

Among Democrats, deep concern about Clinton’s Hispanic strategy

Lagging support among Hispanic voters for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and congressional candidates in crucial races has stoked deep concern that the party and the presidential campaign are doing too little to galvanize a key constituency.

While Clinton holds a significant lead over Republican rival Donald Trump in every poll of Hispanic voters, less clear is whether these voters will turn out in numbers that Democrats are counting on to win.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are condemning the attacks in New York, New Jersey and Minnesota.

In statements, the candidates offered their support for the victims. Trump went a step further saying, “failed Obama-Hillary Clinton policies won’t keep us safe. I will make America safe again!”