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Recent News

Ohio Tests Whether Clinton’s Ground Game Can Topple Trump’s Lead

Deborah Charney didn’t need much persuading when Hillary Clinton volunteer Cordell Clealand stepped onto her front porch and pulled out a “join the team” card.

“I’m not sure how females can vote for Trump,’’ said Charney, 52, an attorney from Powell, Ohio, said of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. She had Clealand check the boxes that said she would help register voters and make phone calls for Clinton.

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Recent News

Trump facing must-win debate

Donald Trump needs a win at the second presidential debate on Sunday if he is to build on the momentum that his running mate, Mike Pence, has created for him.

Pence, the governor of Indiana, is widely seen as having bested his Democratic counterpart, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, at the sole vice presidential debate on Tuesday evening.

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Campaign Watch

Pence outperforms Kaine, unlikely to matter

Republican vice presidential nominee Mike Pence was generally judged to have had a better debate last night than Democrat Tim Kaine, though it was hardly a knockout and few expect it to make much difference, at least based on most of the commentary that followed. Here’s how Bloomberg Politics described it:

Pence Succeeds in Debate Without Really Trying to Defend Trump

Calm and measured, Pence showed off his preparation for his vice-presidential showdown with Democrat Tim Kaine, fending off a slashing, interrupting ... Read More >>

Recent News

Clinton and Trump Are Shuffling the Electoral Map

In the campaign’s final weeks, Hillary Clinton’s position now looks stronger in Florida than in Ohio; in Virginia than in Wisconsin; and in Colorado and even North Carolina than in Iowa.

In other news, the sun today rose in the West.

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Recent News

Donald Trump is running out of time

In a presidential contest driven by big events, Donald Trump is running out of opportunities to rebound.

The Republican’s running mate Mike Pence turned in a solid but fact-challenged performance in the second of four general-election debates, but it hardly changed the shape of a race that has been moving in Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine’s favor for a week.

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Recent News

North Carolina Is Becoming A Backstop For Clinton

Hillary Clinton continues to gain ground in our presidential forecast, as it becomes clearer that last week’s debate was a turning point in the race. In fact, the polls we added to our database on Tuesday may have been Donald Trump’s worst since the debate. They included surveys showing Clinton leading Trump by 9 percentage points and 10 points in Pennsylvania, by 6 points and 2 points in North Carolina, and by 3 points in Nevada.

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Recent News

Mike Pence’s debate was great for Pence 2020 and decidedly less great for Trump 2016

If Tuesday night’s vice-presidential debate was about Mike Pence helping Donald Trump right the ship in the 2016 presidential race, it was an abject failure.

But if it was about making Mike Pence look good — possibly for a future presidential run? — it was a success.

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