Recent News

Poll: Sanders narrows gap in California

Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders is closing the gap with front-runner Hillary Clinton in California, according to a Field Poll released Thursday.

Clinton leads among likely Democratic primary voters in the state 47 percent to 41 percent, according to the survey. The same poll conducted in January found Sanders trailing by 11 points in California.

Poll: Clinton, Trump lead in Maryland

Hillary Clinton has a clear but narrowing lead over Bernie Sanders three weeks before Maryland’s Democratic primary contest, according to a new Washington Post-University of Maryland poll.

The poll also finds good news for Donald Trump, who has a slight edge among likely Republican voters, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich in second place.

Poll: Trump and Clinton hold narrow leads in Pennsylvania

Three weeks ahead of the Pennsylvania primary, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are holding on to single-digit leads among likely voters in their state’s primaries, according to the results of the latest Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.

Trump earned the support of nearly four in 10 likely voters — 39 percent — while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz earned 30 percent.

Bernie Sanders picked up a win Tuesday in Wisconsin’s primary, casting light on Hillary Clinton’s lingering vulnerabilities with parts of the Democratic coalition while doing little to slow her path to the eventual nomination.

The win will almost certainly translate into a fundraising windfall worth several million dollars for Sanders, and give him a boost of momentum ahead of New York’s critical primary two weeks from now.

Bernie Sanders’s Wisconsin win gives him fresh credibility to press on to the end against Hillary Clinton—and even fans his team’s long-shot ambition for a convention upset in July—but doesn’t fundamentally shake Clinton’s grip on the nomination heading into New York in two weeks.

Sanders can rightly boast about six wins in the last seven states, but Clinton’s final firewall is four of the most delegate-rich states yet to vote, starting with her adopted home state April 19.

No, general election polling still doesn’t tell us much

There is a lot of information contained in polling. In addition to the simple horse race — who’s going to win and by how much — there’s information about demographic responses to candidates and issues and about how those attitudes have evolved over time. In fact, for some polls, it’s that latter data that’s more interesting, in part because the predictive power of the horse race is still a bit iffy.

Challengers Need Big Wins in Wisconsin Primary to Keep Nomination Within Reach

Wisconsin’s highly engaged voters routinely post some of the highest turnout numbers in presidential elections. On Tuesday, they will play an important role in both major-party nominating contests. Here are some of the things we will be watching.