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Recent News

Cruz wins as Rubio and Trump prepare for battle

Ted Cruz beat the polls and beat Donald Trump Monday in Iowa, garnering the most votes in the history of the Iowa caucuses. Marco Rubio finished a strong third. If history is a guide, those are the only three tickets out of Iowa.

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Campaign Watch

What Do the Caucus Results Mean – and What’s Next?

The Iowa caucuses are over and done, and now the candidates (most of them, at least) are moving on to New Hampshire. Two candidates, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, ended their campaigns after disappointing results, and it is possible one or two more will pull the plug within the next few days.

Aside from pushing a few candidates out of the race, what will be the impact of the Iowa caucuses on the Democratic and ... Read More >>

Recent News

13 Quick Takeaways From The 2016 Iowa Caucuses

The Iowa caucuses finally took place last night, after months of Democratic and Republican presidential campaigns criss-crossing the state. Polls were volatile heading into caucus night.

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Recent News

Iowa Caucus Winners and Losers

After a year’s worth of speculation and enough hot air to launch a thousand balloons, the people of Iowa have spoken. Their verdict on the 2016 contest is influential, but not determinative. So, without further ado, here are the winners and losers from the 2016 Iowa caucuses.

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Recent News

Bush’s Iowa performance is even worse than expected

The bar was low for Jeb Bush’s finish in Monday’s Iowa caucus. He failed to clear it anyway.

After a blowout defeat that landed him in sixth place with just 2.8 percent of the vote, Bush’s campaign is now directing top aides and surrogates to highlight the lack of emphasis the one-time front-runner placed on the state – and to make the case that he has far higher expectations in New Hampshire.

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Recent News

Decision Desk, Iowa: Three-Man Race?

Tonight’s Iowa caucuses will finally start to winnow the ginormous Republican field down to size. More importantly, it will also be the first test of three different narratives. Will Trump’s voters turn out? Can Cruz, who has staked his hopes on riding a united movement conservatism to victory, win in the early state where a united movement is strongest? Can Rubio emerge as the most conservative “establishment” candidate in modern history?
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Recent News

The Iowa Caucus Expectations Game: What Do the Republican Candidates Need?

The Iowa Caucuses award 27 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican presidential nomination, they are awarded proportionally, and nobody is likely to get much more than a third of the vote, so the numerical importance of winning Iowa is almost nil. What matters is the psychology of the results, how they shape the race going forward, and what they tell us about the candidates’ campaigns. What does each candidate need tonight?
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