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If Ted Cruz wins by a huge margin in Milwaukee’s suburbs, as expected tonight, he’ll get all three delegates from Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District, which cast 257,017 votes for Mitt Romney in the 2012 general election. But in two weeks, Donald Trump could capture just as many delegates by winning a majority of the vote in New York’s heavily Latino, Bronx-based 15th Congressional District, which cast only 5,315 votes for Romney four years ago.

No, general election polling still doesn’t tell us much

There is a lot of information contained in polling. In addition to the simple horse race — who’s going to win and by how much — there’s information about demographic responses to candidates and issues and about how those attitudes have evolved over time. In fact, for some polls, it’s that latter data that’s more interesting, in part because the predictive power of the horse race is still a bit iffy.

Can a Cruz Win in Wisconsin Change the GOP Race?

Donald Trump remains the national frontrunner ahead of the Wisconsin primary, but his support among Republicans and Republican-leaners has dropped three points to 45 percent, down from 48 percent last week.

Ted Cruz is behind him with 28 percent support and John Kasich has 18 percent support, according to the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll conducted online from March 28 to April 3 of 14,071 adults aged 18 and over, including 12,116 registered voters.

Challengers Need Big Wins in Wisconsin Primary to Keep Nomination Within Reach

Wisconsin’s highly engaged voters routinely post some of the highest turnout numbers in presidential elections. On Tuesday, they will play an important role in both major-party nominating contests. Here are some of the things we will be watching.

Will there be a contested Republican convention? That might all depend on how Waukesha County, Wisconsin votes Tuesday night.

After the first full week of 2016 without a debate or primary contest, voters head to the polls here Tuesday. And Waukesha County, which is just outside Milwaukee in GOP voter-rich southeastern Wisconsin, will play a major role in who wins this primary, where 42 delegates are at stake.

Cruz revives winning Iowa strategy for Wisconsin

The similarities between neighboring Iowa and Wisconsin were supposed to be Scott Walker’s secret weapon in his 2016 campaign. Now they are proving to be Ted Cruz’s.

As Cruz seeks a watershed victory over Donald Trump in Wisconsin on Tuesday to reset the Republican race, on the heels of their scramble for delegates in North Dakota over the weekend, the Texas senator is running the same Iowa playbook that dealt Trump his worst loss of the cycle.