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October 26, 2016

Trump confronts Rust Belt rejection

Donald Trump once looked capable of turning the Rust Belt red.

Now, two weeks before Election Day, his best hope is to turn it a lighter shade of blue. His prospects have dwindled down to just one industrial swing state — Ohio — and even that is no longer the comfortable bet for Trump it appeared to be as recently as a month ago.

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October 26, 2016

GOP’s early vote worries mount

Early voting returns continue to paint a bleak picture for Donald Trump.

In Nevada, where early in-person voting began on Saturday, Democratic voters cast 23,000 more ballots than Republicans as of Tuesday afternoon, good for a 15-percentage-point edge in the nearly 150,000 ballots cast. (Mail in and absentee ballots narrow the gap slightly).

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October 26, 2016

Trump Has 2-Point Edge in Bloomberg Politics Poll of Florida

Donald Trump has a slim advantage in Florida as critical independent voters narrowly break his way in the must-win battleground state, a Bloomberg Politics poll shows.

The Republican presidential nominee has 45 percent to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 43 percent among likely voters when third-party candidates are included, the poll found. In a hypothetical two-way race, Trump has 46 percent to Clinton’s 45 percent.

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October 26, 2016

Trump stops holding high-dollar fundraisers that were raising big cash for the GOP

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has no further high-dollar fundraising events planned for the remainder of the campaign, dealing another serious blow to the GOP’s effort to finance its get-out-the-vote operation before Election Day.

Steven Mnuchin, Trump’s national finance chairman, said in an interview with The Washington Post on Tuesday that Trump Victory, a joint fundraising committee between the party and the campaign, held its last formal fundraiser on Oct. 19.

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October 26, 2016

Donald Trump’s campaign has spent more on hats than on polling

I don’t think there’s a data point that better captures the weirdness of this presidential election cycle than the following:

According to the Federal Election Commission filings, Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has spent $1.8 million on polling from June 2015 through September of this year (the most recent month for which data are available). The report also lists $3.2 million spent on hats.

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October 25, 2016

In the Year of Trump, the South isn’t red vs. blue — it’s black vs. white

A new poll in Louisiana shows Donald Trump leading by 20 points. And the reason is no surprise: white voters.

What is surprising, though, is the degree to which that statement is true — i.e. just how much Trump dominates among whites. Hillary Clinton takes just 12 percent of them in the Mason-Dixon poll; Trump takes 75 percent.

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October 25, 2016

Trump camp embraces Facebook, will broadcast nightly

Trump TV starts now — sort of — on Facebook.

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, whose penchant for Twitter has become a huge deal this election, announced Monday on his Facebook page that his campaign will host from Trump Tower in New York City a Facebook Live stream every night at 6:30 p.m. EST.

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